HOWWWWW…
…do markets know exactly when to change direction, the very second we enter a position? And even more infuriatingly, change back again the very instant we exit them…?
I know it's the #1 cliche, meme, etc etc. But the markets can't literally have pegged the exact psychology of every human being on the planet.
I've tested this a number of ways btw. I put a SL, the price moves to exactly my SL… And then reverses.
I don't put a SL… It just drops… And drops…. And drops…. And then… The instant I close the position at a huge loss… The price reverses.
I've tried not even looking at the charts. To eliminate the "it's psychology" or the "they know how retail will react to candles" arguments. I simply decide at a point in time to enter a position – on a whim, without looking, just to check the behaviour.
[More or less] Instantly, the price moves against the position. I'm now trailing and needing a reversal. Then see above with the closing.
And just now.. I took a long position. Not on a nothing coin, but on a top 20 coin. It looked quiet, so I set a short. It was also moving with a couple of solid red bars in my direction (at 1min TF) so it seemed a good bet. Not well researched, clearly, but not nothing.
I set the position, and set a generous SL. Not ridiculous, but at a point that would almost have to be an anomaly if it even reached it.
The chart blips up a green line. The literal second I pressed the confirm button. Then dead: No movement for two minutes. Then the price bounces upwards; a small amount. Nothing unusual. But upwards.
Then the second bounce.. Up and over my SL, set generously, no candle movement, just the price appearing a couple of points above the SL, triggering the closure.
Then within 3 candles the price is below my entry, i.e. in profit.
I know those is volatile. I know many things are unpredictable. That is not the point. If it happens once, that's just the game. If it happens twice, it's unlucky. If it happens 95% of the time, there is something fundamental "they" are not telling us.
Honestly, if I made a copy-trade, and tell people to do the exact opposite of what I do, it would by far be the most successful trading strategy ever seen.
So how does this work? How does this system know exactly how to beat virtually everybody?
