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Home»Altcoins»Is altcoin season here? Why Bitcoin’s $21 Billion IO Isn’t Saying Yet
Altcoins

Is altcoin season here? Why Bitcoin’s $21 Billion IO Isn’t Saying Yet

July 6, 2026No Comments
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According to Glassnode’s Altcoin Cycle Signal, altcoins are outperforming Bitcoin (BTC) overall, and altcoin season is finally here. Interestingly, the denominator effect, which is usually responsible for the apparent strength of altcoins, is also strong this time around.

Altcoin cycle signalAltcoin cycle signal
Source: Studio Glassnode

This indicator is important because altcoins can sometimes appear stronger simply when the price of Bitcoin falls or moves sideways. In reality, this does not necessarily reflect increased demand for altcoins.

The crypto community still supports Bitcoin

However, the crypto community has offered a different perspective on the current situation. According to one analyst, Bitcoin’s Open Interest (OI) was $21.11 billion, which is much higher than altcoins’ OI of $16.36 billion.

This indicates that traders are still focused on Bitcoin and that there could be room for expansion in the altcoin market as a whole.

Altcoins (excluding ETH) Open Interest Surpassed Bitcoin Open InterestAltcoins (excluding ETH) Open Interest Surpassed Bitcoin Open Interest
Source: Ted/X

Historically, altcoin rallies have often peaked when the OI altcoin surpasses that of Bitcoin. OI. Noticing on which, the analyst added,

For now, it looks like alts still have room to operate. But once Alts OI > Bitcoin OI, you need to start looking for the exit.

In fact, according to Zach Pandl, head of research at Grayscale, the current price of Bitcoin may provide an attractive long-term buying opportunity.

He said,

In my opinion, the current Bitcoin price $BTC will prove to be a good entry point or an exceptional entry point, depending on three variables: Fed rate hikes, the CLARITY Act, and the strategy’s track record.

What awaits us?

The analyst also notes that Bitcoin has held support around $58,000, suggesting that selling pressure is fading and a market bottom could be forming. Although Bitcoin is not at a “fire sale” valuation, it may have reached its cyclical low if these three catalysts continue to develop positively.

However, this broad rotation has yet to fully materialize as Bitcoin continues to dominate capital inflows, limiting liquidity in the broader altcoin market.

Overall, the market remains in a Bitcoin-dominated phase rather than a full altcoin cycle, as long as the altcoin index remains below 75.


Final summary

  • Bitcoin’s open interest was $21.11 billion, which is much higher than the altcoins’ OI of $16.36 billion.
  • The current Bitcoin price may provide an attractive long-term buying opportunity, according to the analyst.



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