While most analysts expect the Crypto bull cycle to continue until the end of 2025, the concerns concerning an economic recession in the United States, as well as the “circular” economy of cryptography, can still threaten cryptography assessments.
Despite the recent market correction, most cryptographic analysts expect the bull cycle to peak after the third quarter of 2025, with Bitcoin price forecasts (BTC) ranging from $ 160,000 to more than $ 180,000.
Beyond external concerns, as a potential recession in the largest economy in the world, the greatest risk specific to the crypto industry is the “circular” nature of its economy, according to Arthur Breitman, co-founder of Tezos.
“Within the industry, the main risk is that industry is always looking for land. Everything is still very circular, ”said Breitman at Cointelegraph.
“If you look at DEFI, for example, the financing point is to finance something (…), but if the only thing that DEFI finances is more defined, then it is circular,” said Breitman, adding:
“If the only reason why people want to buy your token is because they feel that others will want to buy this token is circular.”
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XZVPXXFBDF4
This contrasts strongly with the stock market, which is “based on income -generating companies”, which makes the “lack of land” of the crypto industry one of the main threats of industry, added Breitman.
Other insiders of the industry have also criticized the state of the cryptographic economy, specifically linked to the last memecoin mergers, which siphon the liquidity of more established cryptocurrencies.
Solana will be released. Source: Debridge, research in binance
Solana was affected by more than $ 485 million in outings in February after the recent wave of memecoin carpet shot triggered an investor flight to “security”, with part of the capital flowing in the same on the BNB channel, like the Mememoin broccoli, inspired by the Changpeng Zhao dog.
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The fears of American recession is the greatest external risk of crypto: the co-founder of Tezos
Beyond specific events to industry, larger macroeconomic concerns, including a potential American recession, threaten traditional and cryptocurrency markets.
“In terms of macro events, I still think we could see a recession,” said Breitman, adding:
“There are a lot of bullish winds for the market, but there are also many traditional recession indicators that have been blinking for some time now. So I don’t think you can exclude it.
Cryptocurrencies markets are still negotiating significant correlation with technological actions, which means that a recession will lead to a widespread sale, he added.
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The current concerns of the trade war, driven by the import rates of the American president Donald Trump and the continuous reprisal measures, have rekindled concerns concerning a potential recession.
Source: Polymarket
More than 40% of market players expect a recession in the United States this year, against only 22% a month ago on February 17, according to the largest decentralized prediction market, Polymarket.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6unogdvqwre
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