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Upper analyst Aksel Kibar (CMT) thinks that Bitcoin approaches a decisive moment on the weekly graph. In a position shared on July 9, 2025, the veteran technician noted that BTC / USD “is the right to the limit of the model”. The annotated graph that he published – on the coverage of the weekly bitstamp prices in mid -2010 – compression of the cryptocurrency directly under a strip of horizontal resistance at $ 109,000, the neckline of what it develops a continuation of continuation of the head and shoulders (H&S) of six months.
Bitcoin loan for $ 141,300
Kibar’s graphic first revisits the basic sequence that reversed the 2022 bear cycle. A reverse manual of the head and shoulders finished at the beginning of 2023, with hollows at around $ 17,600 (left shoulder), $ 15,500 (head) and $ 19,500 (right shoulder). The escape above the neck was bitcoin at $ 31,400.
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Immediately afterwards, the price is dead in a six -month rectangle delimited by a support of $ 25,000 and a resistance of $ 31,400. The possible resolution of Topside propelled the market to the implicit objective of the rectangle of $ 38,000, validating two consecutive conventional projections in less than a year. Subsequently, the price of the BTC has grown more. Below $ 73,700, BTC was decreasing, ending with an escape around $ 109,000.

From this moment, the initial withdrawal has the bottom at $ 91,200, creating what Kibar designates as the left shoulder. A deeper descent at $ 76,500 has cut the head. Then, the price of Bitcoin formed the right shoulder at $ 101,500, resolved by the blue bowl arc on the graph.
Throughout this structure, the neck at $ 109,000 has remained intact, acting as a clear demarcation between consolidation and fresh summits. The opposite model of the head and shoulders extends over about half a year, corresponding to the “6-month” annotation of the analyst.
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Using the H&S Orthodox continuation rule – adding the vertical distance of the head ($ 73,700) to the neckline ($ 109,000) at the rupture level – Kibar draws a price target of $ 141,300. He notes in an answer X that this target is distinct from the previous objective of $ 137,000, which came from a greater cut with a round at the monthly scale. In other words, the short -term weekly model is now changing modestly higher than the longer -term structure.
At the time of the Bitcoin press, Bitcoin exchanged nearly $ 111,000, exceeding the neckline. However, from a technician’s point of view, the break must still confirm with the weekly fence. Confirmation requires a decisive weekly colony north of the neck of $ 109,000. As Kibar notes: “Breakout must take place with a long white candle, similar to the complements of the previous patterns. There should be no hesitation. ”
The invalidation would emerge on a weekly closure below the last Swing-Bas support at $ 101,500; A deeper failure under $ 91,200,000 would completely unravel the diagram.
For the moment, Bitcoin is on the support point of its six -month balance. A weekly candle or two should reveal whether the largest digital asset can convert another formation of conventional graphics into a measured movement – this time towards a half -plates territory.

Star image created with dall.e, tradingView.com graphic


