Key notes
- Bitcoin is negotiated at 40% below its fair value based only on the energy input.
- Ark Invest plans that Bitcoin could reach the price of $ 2.4 million by the end of 2030.
- The United States Fed officially abolished the restriction on American banks concerning Bitcoin offers.
Charles Edwards, founder of Capriole Investments, estimates that the current market coarsely underweight Bitcoin after a brief but powerful rally from $ 80,000 to almost $ 94,000 in April.
According to Edwards’ energy value indicator, which calculates the fair BTC value according to the contribution of Joules of Energy, Bitcoin should negotiate nearly $ 130,000, no less than $ 94,000.
The Bitcoin energy value is $ 130,000. We are a year after the reduction by half and Bitcoin is negotiated to a huge 40% discount compared to its intrinsic value. pic.twitter.com/kbqtgtpp5d
– Charles Edwards (@caprioleio) April 25, 2025
Completing this, Macromicro data show the average cost to operate a single bitcoin is now at $ 96,000, placing current prices at a minor discount.
Major American Fed announcement
The addition of fuel to this already optimistic configuration is a revolutionary announcement of the American federal reserve.
The federal reserve officially withdrew its directives in 2022 and 2023 which restrict the activities linked to the cryptography of banks, including the requirement of pre-apploitation for cryptographic services. From now on, banks are free to engage in the crypto as part of standard supervision processes.
With the regulatory friction that finally wins, in particular in the greatest economy in the world, the Bitcoin path to institutional adoption has become much more fluid.
Banks are now free to start supporting Bitcoin.
– Michael Saylor (@saylor) April 24, 2025
The abolition of administrative formalities could invite us to banks to reintegrate or extend cryptography offers, including custody, an infrastructure of tokens in dollars and direct Bitcoin holders, which stimulates both legitimacy and liquidity.
Bitcoin (BTC) Price analysis
Bitcoin oscillates around $ 93,717, just above a key level of Fibonacci and near the lower limit of a node at high volume between $ 93,000 and $ 103,000, which acted as a major value zone at the end of 2024.
Digital assets at the head of the market has recently exceeded Silver and Amazon, becoming the sixth most precious asset in the world.
If the bulls keep this area and return it to support, a rotation at $ 103,000 is the next logical target. Meanwhile, the relative force index (RSI) is close to 67 years, reflecting a strong bullish impulse but not yet crawl.
The MacD has made a clean optimistic crossing with widened histograms, suggesting a continuous upward movement.
BTC daily graphics | Source: tradingView
On Fibonacci’s retracement, Bitcoin recently broke over the levels of 0.5 and 0.618, often considered as key turns in bullish inversions.
If Bitcoin can recover the level of $ 103,000 and break above with the volume, it returns to the territory which had previously led to a drop of 18%.
A sustained movement above this area could be a signal for bulls to aim at $ 120,000 at $ 130,000, aligning with the fair energy value of Edwards.
ARK Invest’s $ 2.4 million prediction
Meanwhile, the new long -term projection of ARK Invest offers even more reasons of optimism.
In its updated report, Ark revised the objective of the Bulcoin Bitcoin affair at 2.4 million dollars by 2030, citing a strong institutional interest and increasing adoption in global portfolios.
Even its basic case suggests a price of $ 1.2 million, pointing to exponential growth sustained in the coming years.
following
Non-liability clause: Coinspeaker undertakes to provide impartial and transparent reports. This article aims to provide precise and timely information, but should not be considered as financial or investment advice. Since market conditions can change quickly, we encourage you to check the information for yourself and consult a professional before making decisions according to this content.
Cryptographic journalist with more than 5 years of experience in the industry, Parth has worked with the main media in the world of crypto and finance, the collection of experience and expertise in space after having survived bear markets and bulls over the years. STHTH is also an author of 4 self-published books.
Parth Dubey on LinkedIn
