Celestia came under heavy pressure, sliding 13.55% in the past 24 hours and clearly underperforming the broader market’s 2.54% decline, while extending its weekly losses to almost 9%.
Celestia’s sale reflects sustained structural pressure rather than a sudden shock.
Over a 1-day time frame, Celestia (TIA) price fell after losing the 50% Fibonacci level to $0.527. Then, it fell below the 30-day SMA near $0.518. This breakout signaled the continuation of the trend.
The sellers therefore insisted more. Volume jumped 132% to around $70 million, confirming distribution. Traders reacted defensively.
Source: TradingView
Short-term participants reduced their exposure, while momentum traders added short positions on failed rallies. This behavior persisted for several sessions, reinforcing downward control.
Meanwhile, the RSI at 41.22 indicated weakening momentum rather than capitulation. As a result, bears are now eyeing $0.473 as their next downside target.
A loss could expose the $0.45 area. However, the bulls must first reclaim the $0.505 spot. A daily close above $0.527 would change the structure and invite a mean reversion towards $0.60.
Until then, the intention remains cautious. Liquidity favors reactive trading and not sustained accumulation.
Looking at the time frame, it appears that the market will stabilize before making a clear decision, as participants await confirmation of volume and momentum signals.
TIA Prices Struggle Despite Easing Unlock Pressure
Celestia’s recent price performance reflects continued tokenomic pressure, although conditions have improved structurally.
At genesis in 2023, inflation started at almost 8%. Since then, successive upgrades have steadily reduced emissions. By the end of 2025, inflation had fallen to almost 2.5%, marking a significant change.
It is important to note that the largest supply shocks faded earlier. Major releases of venture capital and early stage investors will be concluded by the end of 2025.
By early 2026, TIA’s circulating supply has stabilized at nearly 870 million. This removed the risk of cliff. However, the shows have not disappeared.
Staking rewards continue to add supply, with APYs near 8-10%. Therefore, dilution persists when demand remains low.
From the end of 2025 to 2026, price developments reflected this slowness rather than panic selling. The sellers acted methodically and non-aggressively.
Meanwhile, buyers awaited confirmation that emissions reductions would translate into use. Looking ahead, further reductions in inflation could improve confidence.
However, without stronger adoption and increased fees, token improvements alone cannot immediately and decisively reverse the trend.
Final Thoughts
- TIA’s decline reflects sustained distribution and weak momentum, not panic. Heavy volume and lost support levels keep the downward pressure intact between $0.45 and $0.47.
- As issuance continues and demand is weak, recovery depends on reclaiming $0.505-0.527 and stronger adoption.
