The latest report on the Coinbase market depicts a mixed image for the cryptography market, showing signs of decline but also a recovery potential later in the year.
The report, published on April 15, reveals that the market capitalization of Altcoin dropped by 41%, going from $ 1.6 billion in December 2024 to around $ 950 billion in mid-April 2025. This marks a significant contraction, the market reaching as low as $ 906.9 billion on April 9. These factors contributing to a dark perspective for the sector.
David Duong, a global Coinbase Research Head, said these questions, alongside global trade rates and continuous economic uncertainty, as factors that can point out the start of a new “cryptographic winter”. Duong stressed that the decrease in the feeling of investors and the reduction in interests of venture capital for crypto are largely linked to wider macroeconomic pressures, including budgetary tightening and prices.
However, the report does not exclude the possibility of a recovery. Coinbase suggests that the market could stabilize from the middle of the middle T2 2025 to the end, opening the way to a potential rebound in T2. Coinbase analysis emphasizes that the traditional fall of 20% commonly used to define bears markets is less applicable in the current cryptographic landscape. Instead, they recommend counting on more sophisticated measures such as risk adjusted to risk and the 200 -day mobile average to assess market changes.
Bitcoin performance has been relatively more stable compared to altcoins. Although he has experienced drops, he did not fall as much as altcoins. However, according to Coinbase data, the Bitcoin price has recently decreased below its mobile average at 200 days, a key technical indicator which signals wider market changes. In addition, the Coin 50 index of Coinbase, which follows the 50 best non -bitcoin chips, also fell below its mobile average at 200 days, indicating that weakness can persist on the market.
The volatility of the new sectors such as coins, decentralized physical infrastructure networks (backdrop) and tokens related to artificial intelligence contributes to the global instability of the market. Coinbase notes that these sectors have been more affected by price fluctuations, making bitcoin a less reliable indicator of the global market orientation. Duong said Bitcoin is working more and more as a “value store”, the wider market assessment of cryptography may require new approaches that take into account the growing diversity of space.
Although short -term prospects remain cautious, Coinbase remains optimistic about the potential for recovery of the market later in 2025. The company advises investors to remain flexible and cautious, because market conditions remain uncertain. However, if the global economic factors are improving, Coinbase expects a stronger market in the second half of 2025.
