DeFi market expert Tracer has compiled a series of predictions from an influential figure in the cryptocurrency market, specifically a “whale” or an investor with a large portfolio. This particular whale has accurately anticipated every Bitcoin (BTC) all-time high and numerous crypto market highs since 2015.
Long term vision
The latest born whale forecast for 2026, revealed in a social media post on
However, this whale’s knowledge goes beyond simple numbers. It focuses on the current phase of infrastructure development that encompasses essential elements such as exchange-traded funds (ETFs), custody services, regulatory advancements and strategic adjustments to corporate balance sheets.
According to his analysis, the market’s transition to this new phase often triggers an initial drop in prices as speculation fades. He suggests that the increase will not be immediate; rather, it will be a gradual and steady demand as the market stabilizes.
Although not explicitly stated, his model indicates that he does not expect prices to rise quickly. Rather, he envisions “a squeeze phase” characterized by several key developments: weak hands are shaken out, credit positions are liquidated, and “easy” leverage is removed from the market.
This transition – moving from speculation to accumulation – generally follows a predictable sequence: speculation leads to an increase volatilitywhich is then followed by liquidations and scares, causing retail investors to leave. Ultimately, outflows pave the way for stabilization, which sets the stage for future upside.
What to expect for crypto in 2026
In this context, DeFi Tracer suggests that Bitcoin could see a decline to around $50,000 before the accumulation phase begins in earnest. This implies a potential 44% correction for the cryptocurrency from current trading levels just above $89,600.
The reasoning behind this outlook is simple: the market requires a cleansing process before embarking on a new bull run.
By 2026, indicators suggest that whale analysis is relevant. Signs indicate that the necessary market clean-up is nearing completion and the long-awaited result growth phase is just around the corner.
Several macroeconomic factors underline this optimism. Notably, metals have reached all-time highs and are now shifting capital towards cryptocurrencies. The traditional four-year market cycle is coming to an end as governments around the world are showing increasing interest in acquiring cryptocurrencies.
The expert concluded that while 2025 was marked by a correction and cleansing of the crypto market, 2026 is poised for what the whale describes as structural growth. This process would be methodical and steady rather than rapid and chaotic, suggesting a systematic recovery of cryptocurrencies.
Featured image of DALL-E, chart by TradingView.com
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