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Home»Ethereum»Ethereum Net Flow Increases to Derivatives Markets – Is a Price Fluctuation on the Horizon?
Ethereum

Ethereum Net Flow Increases to Derivatives Markets – Is a Price Fluctuation on the Horizon?

October 26, 2024No Comments3 Mins Read
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Dall·e 2024 10 25 16.40.42 A Digital Illustration Depicting A Spike In Ethereum Netflow To Derivativ.jpeg
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This article is also available in Spanish.

Ethereum (ETH) has had a lackluster phase in recent weeks, with the asset seeing slight price increases but still struggling to hold near or above the $3,000 mark after a brief rally in August.

According to a recent analysis from a CryptoQuant analyst, the behind the scenes of this ETH price struggle has been quite interesting, with the asset seeing a significant change in its net flow.

This change in Ethereum net flow could have significant implications for ETH, potentially influencing the market reaction either positively or negatively.

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Dissecting Ethereum Netflow

CryptoQuant analyst Amr Taha revealed in a recent post on the CryptoQuant QuickTake platform that Ethereum has seen an increase in net flows recently, with approximately 96,000 ETH entering derivatives trades.

Bitcoin exchange net flow.
Bitcoin exchange net flow. | Source: CryptoQuant

According to Taha, this influx could indicate that traders are preparing for possible price changes, as large transfers to derivatives platforms have historically preceded periods of increased volatility or even corrections.

Taha’s analysis, supported by previous spikes in May and early July, suggests that Ethereum’s current activity could portend an increased period of market movement. The analyst wrote:

The latest spike in net flow could signal another period of increased market activity, potentially a price correction or sharp move based on trader positioning.

Market sentiment from Bitcoin

In addition to Ethereum net flows, Taha looked at the Bitcoin Futures Sentiment Index, observing that this metric shows spikes in sentiment that can serve as indicators of broader market behavior.

Bitcoin Futures Sentiment Index.
Bitcoin Futures Sentiment Index. | Source: CryptoQuant

He highlighted three instances where the sentiment index peaked, marked by spikes circled in red (in the chart above), each time coinciding with a local market top. This trend implies that after spikes in trader confidence, the price of Bitcoin generally experiences a decline.

The sentiment index can therefore serve as a “contrarian indicator”: when optimism peaks, price corrections often follow. These sentiment patterns may indicate that investors should prepare for potential volatility in Ethereum, which is highly correlated to Bitcoin.

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Meanwhile, Ethereum continued to hover somewhere below $3,000. So far, the asset has seen a correction in the past week, falling 3.1%. However, the performance of the past day tries to be more positive.

During this period, Ethereum saw a slight increase of 0.9%, reaching $2,559 earlier today before now trading at $2,541 at the time of writing.

Ethereum Price Chart on TradingView
ETH price is increasing on the 2-hour chart. Source: ETH/USDT on TradingView.com

Despite the notable fluctuation the asset has seen over the past week alone, rising above $2,700 and falling below $2,500, Ethereum’s daily trading volume appears to have held its composure .

Coingecko data shows that this metric has remained between $15 billion and $19 billion over the past week, with no major rises or falls.

Featured image created with DALL-E, chart from TradingView



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