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Home»Analysis»Lack of conviction keeps ETH stuck below $4,000
Analysis

Lack of conviction keeps ETH stuck below $4,000

October 30, 2025No Comments
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Ethereum price began a downward correction below $4,120. ETH drops below $4,000 and could fall further if it trades below $3,880.

  • Ethereum began a downward correction below $4,050 and $4,000.
  • The price is trading below $4,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average.
  • A downtrend line forms with resistance at $4,000 on the ETH/USD hourly chart (data feed via Kraken).
  • The pair could continue to decline if it trades below $3,880.

Ethereum price falls further

The price of Ethereum failed to stay in a positive zone and started a new decline, like Bitcoin. ETH price fell below $4,120 and $4,050 to enter a bearish zone.

There was a clear move below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the upward move from the $3,708 low to $4,252 high. Furthermore, a downtrend line is forming with resistance at $4,000 on the ETH/USD hourly chart.

Ethereum price is now trading below $4,000 and the 100 hourly simple moving average. If there is another increase, the price could face resistance near the $4,000 level and the trendline. The next key resistance is near the $4,030 level and the 100 hourly simple moving average.

Ethereum Price
Source: ETHUSD on TradingView.com

The first major resistance is near the $4,080 level. A sharp move above the $4,080 resistance could push the price towards the $4,120 resistance. A bullish break above the $4,120 region could lead to further gains in the coming sessions. In the presented case, Ether could reach the resistance zone of $4,200 or even $4,220 in the short term.

More losses in ETH?

If Ethereum fails to breach the $4,000 resistance, it could begin a further decline. Initial downside support is near the $3,880 level. The first major support lies near the $3,840 area and the 76.4% Fibonacci retracement level of the upward move from the $3,708 low to $4,252 high.

A sharp move below the $3,840 support could push the price towards the $3,750 support. Any further losses could push the price towards the $3,700 region in the near term. The next key support lies at $3,650 and $3,620.

Technical indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone.

Major Support Level – $3,880

Major Resistance Level – $4,000



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