While we await the FOMC meeting on Wednesday the 10th at 2 p.m. ET and the potential market reaction to possible rate cuts, let’s dive into Aster DEX and its price forecast.
Aster has become a key player in the trading space since its launch earlier this year. Built on BNB Chain with multi-chain support, it allows users to trade perpetual contracts and spot markets using yield-bearing collateral like asBNB. The ASTER token manages fees, governance, and rewards.
Recent moves, such as the burning of 77.86 million tokens worth $79.81 million from S3 buybacks, show a strong commitment to reducing supply. As S4 buybacks accelerate tomorrow with $4 million in daily injections, the token sits at $0.952 on strong support.
This Aster price prediction leans towards a rebound if macroeconomic conditions improve, targeting $1.20 in the near term and $2 by the first quarter of 2026.
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Aster Base Build: CZ Support and BNB Synergy
Aster began as a merger between Astherus and APX Finance in late 2024. It has rolled out as a decentralized exchange focused on low fees and fast execution on chains like Solana, Ethereum, and Arbitrum. Traders can earn returns on collateral when opening positions, which sets it apart in DeFi. The platform reached $238 billion in volume over the past 30 days, with over 200,000 holders. Plans for its own layer 1, Aster Chain, are expected to be fully rolled out this quarter, with the aim of reducing reliance on external L2s.
CZ’s involvement adds weight. In early November, the former Binance CEO purchased $2 million worth of ASTER tokens at around $1.25, triggering a 35% rally. He now holds over $2.5 million and promotes it on his channels, calling it a boost for the growth of the BNB ecosystem. CZ clarified that Aster operates independently but aligns with BNB’s multi-chain push. This bond generates liquidity from Binance users, with Aster allocating 53.5% of tokens to community rewards compared to lower competitor allocations. The daily fee, now 70 to 80% for redemptions, funds ongoing redemptions.
S4 debuted three days ago, already collecting 8.81 million ASTER for 9.13 million USDT at an average of $1.036. Tomorrow’s acceleration to $4 million per day could further tighten supply, especially after the half-burn in H3.
– Aster (@Aster_DEX) November 20, 2025
The community feels this momentum. With CZ’s public endorsement, the number of holders jumped 15% last month. This base positions Aster to capture more perp volume as DeFi TVL rebounds.
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Selling Pressure or Burn: How Aster Fights Its Downtrend
Price developments tell a difficult story. From October highs near $2.50, ASTER slid 62% through December, repeatedly testing support at $0.90 to $0.92. The 4-hour chart shows stable red candles, with increasing volume on declines. Broader market weakness, linked to BTC’s sub-$90,000 range, amplified the decline. Still, key levels held, such as the $0.92 area, acting as a floor for demand.
(Source: Coingecko)
Selling pressure comes from unlocks and early exits. Season 3 rewards distributed 50 million tokens last month, hitting liquidity pools and generating sales. Whales unloaded 20 million ASTER in November, according to on-chain data, limiting upward movements. Macroeconomic factors, such as delayed rate cuts, have added to the situation. But burns counteract this.
The recent token flare of 77.86 million, valued at $79.81 million, reduced the circulating supply by 7.8%. S4’s current wallet has locked an additional 8.81 million, with more inflows.
Traders are watching closely. Aster’s pricing structure is useful: 60-90% of daily revenue is spent on redemptions, compared to 50% in S3. This created short selling potential last week, when the price rebounded 12% after falling to the CZ entry cost. Volume metrics also improved, with trade exceeding the rate of 3:1.
If S4 ends by Wednesday, as planned, an additional 100 million tokens could be burned, easing long-term pressure.
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Aster Price Prediction: Buybacks vs. Hyperliquid Edge
The perp DEX race is heating up, pitting Aster against Hyperliquid. Hyperliquide leads with 4.1% market visibility and greater liquidity, thanks to on-chain matching on its custom chain. It is processing 2x Aster’s daily orders but is behind in community allocation. Aster reversed fees and volume in late September, generating more revenue than Circle at one point. New rivals like Lighter are joining the fray, but Aster’s multi-chain setup and CZ boost give it crossover appeal.
Aster grew up faster than almost everyone. Additionally, he completed a buyback of 155.72 million ASTER, burning half and using the rest for long-term rewards.
Key figures:
▸ $3.5T+ total volume
▸ 31% of all perp DEX activity in November
▸ 400K new traders since October
▸ Almost… pic.twitter.com/0A6smZiDeQ-ZYN (@Zynweb3) December 9, 2025
Can Aster win? It depends on the execution. The speed of hyperliquid stands out in high volatility environments, but Aster’s return guarantee attracts passive traders. With a volume of $6 billion, Aster narrowed the gap to 20%. Aster Chain’s launch could match Hyperliquid’s infra, reducing latency by 30%. Community orientation, 53.5% token drop, strengthens loyalty, unlike Hyperliquid’s 31% drop.
This Aster price prediction takes into account S4 buybacks as a catalyst. If $4 million per day holds support at $0.92, we could expect a push to $1.20 by mid-December.
Longer term view: $2-3 in 2026 if volume holds up and continues to burn, potentially surpassing Hyperliquid in terms of fees. Risks include a macroeconomic-driven sell-off, with a possible retest of $0.90 or less if this level fails to hold.
Traders are monitoring the pace of tomorrow’s buybacks, this could mark the end of the downtrend.
Key takeaways
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Aster’s aggressive S4 buybacks and significant token burns tighten supply and support an eventual price recovery.
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Market sentiment improves as BTC stabilizes and Aster volume, community growth, and CZ support build long-term resilience.
The post S4 Buybacks Start Tomorrow: ASTER Price Prediction Signals Turning Point appeared first on 99Bitcoins.
