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Home»Altcoins»Toncoin Rally Analysis: Can it Sustain the Breakout Above $5.47?
Altcoins

Toncoin Rally Analysis: Can it Sustain the Breakout Above $5.47?

November 12, 2024No Comments
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  • Toncoin recently rebounded from a key support level near $4.6, breaking out of a descending channel.
  • Derivatives data indicated strong bullish sentiment with high trading volume and open interest.

Toncoin (TON) recently saw a strong rebound from its multi-month support near the $4.6 level. This support has been crucial for the bulls over the past few months as they have protected it, avoiding a deeper downturn.

Over the past few sessions, TON broke out of a descending channel trend, surpassing the 20- and 50-day EMAs at $5.03 and $5.19, respectively. This move showed increasing buying interest in the TON market and gave the bulls a slight advantage in the short term.

Toncoin rose 17% last week

Source: TradingView, TON/USDT

At the time of writing, TON was trading at $5.28 after breaking above the channel’s upper trendline. The 200-day EMA at $5.47 provided crucial resistance.

A definitive close above this level could further fuel the bull rally, potentially opening the door for a test of the $6.05 resistance zone. If TON manages to conquer this zone, we could see an extended uptrend with $6.5 as the next immediate target.

However, if price struggles to break above the 200-day EMA, a pullback could be on the cards, potentially retesting support at the 50-day EMA near $5.04. Price action would likely rebound from this level, opening up the opportunity for traders to capitalize on this short-term volatility.

The MACD indicator has seen a bullish crossover, with the MACD line climbing above the signal line and gaining positive momentum. However, buyers should wait for these lines to close above zero before taking a long position in the short to medium term.

The RSI also stood at 60, reflecting increasing bullish momentum. A move above 70 could signal overbought conditions, so traders should watch for potential consolidation around current resistance.

Derivatives Data Revealed THIS

Source: Coinglass

Toncoin derivatives data showed promising bullish sentiment as volume surged 26.26% to $25.46 million. Open Interest also saw an impressive 22.00% jump, indicating that traders are holding on to their positions amid the recent bull rally.

Interestingly, despite a rise in open interest, the overall long/short ratio stood at 0.6787, favoring short positions. However, this ratio on Binance and OKX for top traders was bullish, at 2.864 and 3.0486.


Is your wallet green? Check out the Toncoin Profit Calculator


Traders should monitor TON’s movement around the $5.47 level, as a close above the 200-day EMA could confirm a bullish breakout, leading to further gains. However, any failure to breach this resistance could result in a pullback towards the $4.86 to $5 area.

Additionally, Bitcoin movement and overall market sentiment should also be considered before making any purchasing decisions.

Previous: How Bitcoin’s electoral surge failed to lift DEX tokens like UNI, CAKE

Next: Ethereum hits $60 billion in weekly transactions as uptrends take hold



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