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Home»Altcoins»Will Solana Price Reach $500 After Vanguard’s SOL ETF Decision?
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Will Solana Price Reach $500 After Vanguard’s SOL ETF Decision?

December 6, 2025No Comments
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With collateralized ETFs, the crypto market is entering one of its most aggressive adoption phases yet. Notably, this momentum is not limited to Bitcoin (BTC). Instead, institutions are finally diversifying into altcoins as well.

Even without a confirmed “altcoin season,” the data shows consistent institutional demand. Solana (SOL) is leading the charge, having rolled out six SOL spot ETFs in the fourth quarter and generated approximately $622 million in inflows so far.

Notably, nearly 95% of this capital was invested in Bitwise’s BSOL ETF, positioning it as the BlackRock-level heavyweight in the Solana ecosystem. In short, 2025 has finally brought altcoins to the forefront.

SolanaSolana

Source: Farside Investors

Vanguard Group builds on this dynamic.

As a reminder, Vanguard is one of the largest asset managers in the world, managing more than $11 trillion and serving more than 50 million investors. In a significant policy change, the company has opened its platform to crypto ETFs.

Announced on December 2, the move reverses Vanguard’s long-standing stance against crypto ETFs. This is a clear nod to the growing institutional demand for crypto. Among the top caps, Solana is also part of the mix.

Why Vanguard supports Solana despite unfavorable pricing

Vanguard’s decision to back a SOL ETF isn’t just bullish for Solana.

Instead, it also highlights a broader shift in institutional focus towards altcoins. Until Q4 2025, Ethereum (ETH) was the only altcoin with a Spot ETF in the United States. However, this is changing rapidly.

In this context, the adoption of SOL by Vanguard marks a turning point. Even former skeptics are beginning to diversify into a market once considered too volatile. Given SOL’s price performance, however, this caution is understandable.

GROUNDGROUND

Source: TradingView (SOL/USDT)

It is worth noting that this policy change also comes at a particularly volatile time.

In the charts, Solana is consistently one of the “worst performing assets” across multiple time frames. In fact, zooming out, SOL is down about 28% for the year – marking its worst annual performance since 2022’s -95% decline.

The weekly and daily charts tell a similar story. So what exactly is Vanguard betting on? Looking only at the price, the return on investment is not convincing. So, is this move driven more by Solana’s fundamentals than short-term gains?

Solana Scalability and Adoption Drives Upside

There is no doubt that Solana has lived up to its “Ethereum killer” label.

Although price action hasn’t always reflected this, the fundamentals tell a different story. Notably, Chainspect’s data clearly shows this, explaining why Vanguard’s bet on SOL is significant.

According to Chainspect, Solana’s scalability measurements revealed a 4.78% increase in real-time (1H) TPS to 798.5 txs/s and transaction finality to 12.8 seconds. This currently places it among the most efficient high-cap blockchains.

GROUNDGROUND

Source: ChaîneSpect

In this context, Vanguard’s bet on Solana seems clearly long-term.

As a result, a target of $500 (an increase of approximately 270% from SOL’s press time price) cannot be entirely ruled out. The next Alpenglow upgrade, scheduled for Q1 2026, is expected to provide an additional boost to Solana’s fundamentals.

Combined with growing institutional adoption, these developments will position SOL for potentially substantial upside potential in the coming year. Especially since improvements in scalability strengthen its long-term fundamentals.


Final Thoughts

  • Institutions are steadily turning to Solana, with Vanguard’s policy reversal signaling long-term confidence despite weak pricing.
  • Network upgrades and increasing scalability metrics make the case for a multi-quarter recovery, keeping a $500 target within reach.

Next: Assessing Bitcoin’s 12% Price Rise Since December 1st – What Happened?



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