XRP Price Falls Despite Decline in Whale Activity on Binance

Ripple’s token, XRP, is currently facing a price decline, even as activity among large holders, or “whales,” on Binance has slowed.

Data from the XRP Ledger shows that transfers of large amounts of XRP to exchanges have fallen to levels not seen since 2021. CryptoQuant analyst Arab Chain noted that the Whale Transfer Flow, which tracks these large transfers, dropped to 48 million

This metric is important because when whales move many tokens onto exchanges, it typically signals that they are preparing to sell, which increases selling pressure and can drive the price down. Conversely, low transfer activity indicates that whales are holding their tokens, which can limit supply on exchanges and create potential for future price increases.

In the past, as in 2021, low whale activity has been followed by notable price increases due to tighter supply and increased demand. Despite the reduction in whale sales, XRP price has fallen to a three-day low, currently trading at $2.07, down 1.45% over the past 24 hours and 2.65% over the past week. However, it remains up about 7% over the past month.

January flipped a switch

Large Holders Abandoned Binance, Whale Inflows Falling to Seven-Month Low

Less stock market rush usually means one thing: big players are in no rush to sell pic.twitter.com/uiifwS3E7W

– Santolita (@SantoXBT) January 16, 2026

This short-term decline is mainly due to the broader crypto market, which fell 1.09% over the past 24 hours, bringing the total market cap to $3.23 trillion. Major cryptocurrencies including Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana are also moving lower, reflecting an overall bearish trend across the entire market.

Although whale activity is low and selling pressure is reduced, XRP is still experiencing a downtrend. This indicates that broader market conditions may have a stronger impact on prices than the dynamics of individual tokens. Analysts note that periods of low whale activity have historically led to higher prices, as limited supply on exchanges spurs demand.

Although XRP is currently falling, the reduction in whale transfers could support a price rebound once the market stabilizes and available supply on exchanges remains limited. This combination of factors suggests potential for future growth, even amid short-term losses.

XRP Price Bulls Defend $2.00 Support

XRP is trading near $2.05 on a 4-hour time frame after retreating from recent highs. The chart shows a clear shift from consolidation to a strong bullish breakout, followed by a corrective phase.

Previously, XRP had spent several days moving sideways in a consolidation zone around $1.80 to $1.90. Buyers strongly defended this sector. Once price broke out of the consolidation range, momentum increased sharply, confirming a bullish breakout. The move pushed XRP towards the $2.40 resistance, where sellers moved in aggressively.

After reaching this high, XRP entered a corrective decline. The price pulled back in a controlled manner and formed a support zone around $2.00 to $2.05. This level aligns with the previous breakdown structure, making it an important area for buyers. The market is retesting this area, suggesting the correction may be losing strength.

XRPUSDT chart analysis. Source: Tradingview

A lower high formed near $2.20, marked as Resistance 1. This level is now the first barrier to the upside. A clear break above $2.20 could open the door for a move towards the major resistance near $2.40. Failure to recover $2.20 may keep the price between $2.00 and $2.20.

The chart also hints at a bullish reversal pattern. The price remains above structural support and the selling pressure appears weaker than during the previous decline. As long as XRP remains above the $2.00 support zone, the bulls remain in control of the larger structure.

The RSI (14) is currently near 42, which is below the neutral level 50 but not oversold. This suggests that the bearish momentum is fading rather than accelerating. A return above 50 would confirm renewed bullish strength.

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