The chances of Paris decreased by 72% on Monday when Bitcoin dropped by less than $ 110,000.
Polymarket traders attribute a probability of 61% to Bitcoin below $ 100,000 before 2026. The prediction market shows the drop in confidence in the prices supported at six figures. The chances of Paris decreased by 72% on Monday when Bitcoin dropped by less than $ 110,000. The cryptocurrency has not negotiated below $ 100,000 since June this year. “Large whale sales and long -term holders were satisfied with sufficient demand on purchase,” noted Min Jung, research analyst. Treasury bills and institutional beneficiaries continue to absorb the offer.
However, a more aggressive course by the main holders could test market support. The key question becomes whether new participants can absorb increased sales pressure. A Bitcoin whale recently exchanged 22,400 Bitcoin for Ethereum, creating downward pressure. These important transactions show how concentrated assets can have an impact on prices.
“Bitcoin sales are signs of a mature market,” said David Hernandez 21Shares. Corrections could redistribute the supply of whales to wider duty and institutional bases. The digital cash flow request remains stable with the main corporate purchases. Metaplanet plans to deploy $ 837 million in Bitcoin acquisitions until October.
Funding rates increased from 3% to almost 11%, signaling an aggressive long positioning. Similar leverage conditions preceded net liquidation cascades in 2023 and 2024.
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