Key takeaways
- The ETH/BTC trading pair hit its lowest level in over three years, falling to 0.03508.
- Historical patterns suggest that Ethereum could see further declines against Bitcoin.
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Ethereum’s valuation against Bitcoin (ETH/BTC) has reached a new low of 0.03508, at the time of writing, marking its lowest level since April 2021.
This decline to a 3.5-year low has intensified discussions around Ethereum’s market cycle and its potential approach to its lower logarithmic regression trendline that has historically provided support during bear phases.
Analyst Benjamin Cowen suggests that ETH could reach this level in the coming weeks before 2025, as part of a broader cycle reset.
This dip matches trends seen in 2016 and 2019, where Ethereum saw significant declines before finding stability and rebounding.
Despite previous optimism surrounding the merger and approval of multiple ETFs, Ethereum’s valuation relative to Bitcoin has steadily declined, following a trajectory that echoes past cycles.
Analysts suggest that if this level is reached, it could provide a basis for consolidation before a more sustainable uptrend begins.
The 50-day simple moving average (SMA) for ETH/BTC is closely watched as an indicator of a potential bottom.
Historically, when ETH/BTC rises above this level, it signals a possible trend reversal, making it a key level to watch in the coming weeks.
With ETH/BTC at its lowest level in years, Ethereum holders may consider hedging as this regression line approaches.
Bitcoin’s growing market dominance is another factor impacting Ethereum and other altcoins, which have shown continued weakness against Bitcoin.
Analyst Benjamin Cowen points out that Ethereum could bottom around $1,500, based on indicators from previous cycles, when Ethereum was nearing its lower regression trendline.
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