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Home»Bitcoin»Ethereum Supply Declines: So Why Is ETH Still Stuck Below $3,390?
Bitcoin

Ethereum Supply Declines: So Why Is ETH Still Stuck Below $3,390?

January 20, 2026No Comments
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Large institutions continue to remove Ethereum (ETH) from liquid circulation, and the pace shows no signs of slowing.

Bitmine recently staked 86,848 ETH worth $277.5 million, bringing his total staked holdings to 1.77 million ETH valued at approximately $5.66 billion.

In the meantime, Accumulated ETFs 158,545 ETH, absorbing approximately $520 million since the end of December. This constant absorption reduces the supply available on the market day after day.

However, the price refuses to react immediately. Long-term participants clearly prioritize yield and conservation over short-term volatility. At the same time, speculative traders are hesitant.

As a result, there is a growing gap between structural accumulation and visible price response. Ultimately, the tightening of supply should be important. For now, patience dominates.

Why $3,390 is capping every upside attempt

Ethereum remains stuck in a clearly defined range and sellers continue to assert control around $3,390. Each rally in this area attracts new selling pressure.

The buyers manage to defend the lower region near $3,000, but they struggle to build momentum beyond that point. Therefore, prices oscillate rather than trend. This repeated rejection demonstrates prudence rather than weakness.

Sellers defend key levels but avoid aggressive follow-through. Meanwhile, buyers intervene selectively instead of seeking force. Therefore, the price compresses further. Consolidation dominates the daily structure.

A decisive break above resistance remains necessary to change sentiment. Until then, it’s scope that dictates behavior.

Dynamic indicators reinforce the consolidation discourse. At the time of writing, the RSI has moved from the low 50s and drifted towards the mid 40s. This change reflects the decline in buyer strength after each rebound.

It is important to note that the RSI does not show a bullish divergence. Therefore, momentum offers no confirmation of a bullish breakout.

Ethereum Price Action Ethereum Price Action

Source: TradingView

ETH continues to leave exchanges

Analysis of one-off flows continues to send a constructive signal beneath the surface. Ethereum is seeing consistent exchange outflows, with the latest daily net flow near -$72.6 million, at the time of writing.

Traders and long-term holders always prefer to place ETH in self-custody. This behavior regularly reduces the readily available supply.

However, the price does not react immediately. This disconnect frustrates participants in the short term.

Yet persistent capital outflows often precede supply-driven movements. Meanwhile, vendors fail to cause lasting outages.

Therefore, the price stabilizes despite weak momentum. Trading behavior reflects holders’ conviction rather than fear. Over time, this trend is expected to make conditions even tougher.

Source: CoinGlass

Funding remains positive but…

Derivatives markets continue to show hesitation rather than confidence. Funding rate remained positive near 0.0042, at press time, with the metric up approximately +1,900.87% from previously suppressed levels.

This rebound shows that debt has returned to a relative basis. However, the absolute level of funding remains modest. Long positions still pay short positions, but they do so without urgency.

As a result, leveraged participation remains limited. Traders do not seem willing to aggressively continue the rise.

At the same time, funding refuses to turn negative, indicating that bears also lack conviction.

Therefore, leverage fails to amplify price action. Without sustained funding expansion, Ethereum struggles to generate lasting breakthrough and remains trapped in consolidation.

Ethereum Funding Rate – All Exchanges (4)Ethereum Funding Rate – All Exchanges (4)

Source: CryptoQuant

Ethereum remains stuck between strong structural accumulation and low near-term conviction.

Institutions continue to lock in supply, but momentum and leverage have yet to confirm an upward trend. With reduced funding and moderate RSI, the price is likely to consolidate.

A decisive break above resistance at $3,390, supported by stronger momentum, would indicate that tight supply is finally pushing the price higher.


Final Thoughts

  • Structural accumulation promotes patience, but the price must be convinced before rewarding long-term holders.
  • Ethereum’s next step depends on the return of stake, not just the supply squeeze alone.

Next: Why is crypto down today? Price instability, seller dominance explained



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