The last few months have not been kind to XRP. After hitting a new all-time high in mid-July 2025, it is largely in decline, losing over 70% of its value, falling towards $1.00, being overtaken by BNB and USDC in market cap, and recording six consecutive months in the red at one point.
Amid all these adverse developments, some analysts have become very bearish on the asset. While the prevailing belief is that XRP has reached its most crucial moment during this cycle, some, like Ali Martinez, have highlighted potential declines to the next crucial support levels at $0.80, $0.62, or $0.51 if the $1.00 bottom gives way.
Glassnode warned that XRP token holders continue to make more losses than profits, indicating intensifying selling pressure even among investors in the red. Even ChatGPT made worrying predictions if the asset would indeed move $1.00 from support to resistance soon. But perhaps such low sentiment is what XRP needs to turn things around.
Run instead?
Paradoxically, history shows that markets rarely reward such consensus. In fact, Warren Buffett said it best: “Be fearful when others are greedy, and be greedy when others are fearful.” »
Extreme pessimism has often emerged as major turning points in the crypto market approach. BTC, ETH, and XRP all experienced periods where sentiment collapsed and stayed there for a while before a major recovery began. This is usually possible when weak hands withdraw and long-term investors quietly accumulate.
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The recent selloff has also pushed several technical and on-chain indicators into historically oversold territory. Some analysts say that XRP may be approaching a zone where the risk-reward ratio begins to improve, even if short-term volatility persists.
History is indeed on XRP’s side. Recall that sentiment for the asset had plunged to similar levels in mid-June, but skyrocketed to double digits within 24 hours, with analytics firm Santiment attributing the rebound to deteriorating investor behavior.
July agrees
Current data shows that XRP is poised to close out June with a drop of over 20%, its worst monthly performance since February 2025. Data from CryptoRank suggests that this is in line with previous performance, as June was a mostly bearish month for the asset.
On the contrary, it’s July. XRP has closed each of the last six editions in the green, posting impressive gains. Five of six countries have seen double-digit price increases, including massive pumps of more than 45% in 2020 and 2023. The median gain for July stands at almost 11%.
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