Although the president of the federal reserve Jerome Powell had no commitment, he suggested a possible drop in interest rates in September during his address Jackson Hole on August 22.
Crypto Traders on Polymarket, the Crypto -based prediction market, think that there are 81% chance of Fed reduction rates of 25 base points.
In fact, the popular analyst of Crypto Quinten François predicted that the drop in September would arouse the “largest Bull Run and Alts-Sasison” in history.
Related: What is crypto? Crypto-money explained
However, there is more than what meets the eye.
The Crypto Intelligence Santly Platform published a report on August 24, which highlighted certain revealing factors underlying the feeling of the market.
According to Santiment, the mentions of the following keywords on social media platforms have reached an 11 -month summit:
Historically, such an increase in online gossip around a single increased trend may indicate that euphoria becomes “too high” and can also point out a local high. This means that the market will reach a temporary high point before a correction takes place.
The report added:
“While optimism concerning a drop in rate fuels the market, social data suggests that caution is justified.”
The online conversation around Bitcoin was oriented towards its “higher” price, stressed Santly, but warned that this model has sometimes preceded the price corrections. On the other hand, the chatter around Ethereum was rather “sleeping”, which means that it can still increase before being over-type.
Santiment analyst Brian even suggested that Ethereum had a good chance of hitting a new summit of all time (ATH) of $ 5,000. Indeed, the cryptocurrency hit a new Ath of $ 4,935.52 on the day of publication of the report.
However, the story around a drop in potential Fed rate in September presents the greatest risk for the market, adds the report.
“If a new one emerges to contradict the expectation of the drop in rates, the market could see a quick correction.”
The price index for personal consumer expenditure (PCE) for July, scheduled for August 29, is a key metric to monitor, because it could prove crucial to shape the Fed’s decision in September.
This story was initially reported by Thestreet on August 26, 2025, where it appeared for the first time in the market section. Add TheStreet as a favorite source by clicking here.
