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Home»Analysis»Polymarket’s odds of Bitcoin falling to $80,000 by year-end rise to 40%
Analysis

Polymarket’s odds of Bitcoin falling to $80,000 by year-end rise to 40%

December 5, 2025No Comments
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Key takeaways

  • Polymarket’s chances of Bitcoin hitting $80,000 by the end of 2025 have risen to over 40%.
  • This reflects slowing bullish momentum and growing skepticism about new major highs.

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The market’s chances of Bitcoin reaching just $80,000 by the end of 2025 have jumped to 40%, signaling increased market pessimism and a growing belief that BTC may struggle to reach more ambitious price levels.

Polymarket, a global prediction market platform, allows users to bet on the outcomes of future events on various topics, including cryptocurrencies. The platform provides real-time odds for Bitcoin price predictions, such as the probability of reaching certain thresholds by December 31, 2025.

The increasing odds indicate a shift in market sentiment as traders reassess the potential for significant Bitcoin price appreciation over the remaining weeks of 2025. Polymarket hosts several markets focused on potential Bitcoin price realizations between now and the end of the year.

While more upside is expected, Bitcoin’s chances of hitting $95,000 have fallen to 61%, and its chances of hitting $100,000 are just 32%.



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