Hello everyone. I've been in the space since 2017. I'm a firm believer of the 4 year cycle (more like 3 years and 11 months). Or maybe call it gaps between cycles?
Here is some rough data typed out for you on what to expect based off prior BTC trends.
Anyone can go on trading view and set the chart on monthly and check these rough numbers themselves.
Please be aware that different exchanges and have different data but it shouldn't stray too far from what ive typed out.
Also I dont include the numbers before 2013 because the asset is very volatile and young at that point (still is today in my opinion). Exchanges have vastly different data for that period, some lacking.
Prior btc cycles:
Dec 2013 $1300 BTC (top)
Jan 2015 $200 BTC (bottom)
13 month difference
Dec 2017 $14000 BTC (top)
Jan 2019 $3000 BTC (bottom)
13 month difference
Nov 2021 $61000 BTC
(top)
Dec 2022 $16000 BTC
(bottom)
13 month difference
Current btc cycle:
Oct 2025 $114000
(top)
Sept 2026 <
(estimated bottom) $30000 – $40000
Note: I did not put the all time high wick data. Just the rough monthly close.
Below is price difference percentages for each cycle:
Value percentage difference between top and bottom:
2025- 28.0 – 30.0 % ?? Projected
2021- 26.2 %
2017- 22.1 %
2013- 15.1 %
I think bitcoin is doing literally what its always done.
Anyway, dont lose hope. Bitcoin is always dying and coming back to life.
Also I could be full of shit but long term holding and investing has always worked better for me than day trading.
Have a good day and good luck!
