XRP Price Up 9% as Fed Rate Cut Odds Reach 97.8%

The price of

The increase comes as the odds of a Fed rate cut on Wednesday rose to 97.8%, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch indicator.

🇺🇲 97.8% chance of getting 25 BPS rate cut tomorrow #FOMC 🔥

What do you think will happen after this? pic.twitter.com/D7tgj97mIN

– Crypto Seth (@seth_fin) October 28, 2025

The rate decision comes amid a government shutdown that has delayed key reports on employment and inflation, leaving Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and policymakers “flying blind,” using private data and market signals instead of official government statistics.

Despite these challenges, slow job growth, rising unemployment and inflation stuck at 3% have convinced most economists that cutting rates was the right move.

A reduction would bring the federal funds rate to a range of 3.75% to 4%, from 4.00% to 4.25%. This is seen as a positive for crypto as lower interest rates help generate more liquidity, which often pushes funds into riskier assets like crypto.​

XRP coin price attracts attention

Coin price activity for XRP has been intense as traders position themselves in favor of a Fed decision. Over the past seven days, XRP has surged around 9% and hit a high of $2.66, trading in a tight range as enthusiasm for monetary easing spreads across crypto exchanges.

Several large entries have been recorded, with new buyers appearing each time the price drops towards $2.60.​

October brought bullish predictions, with market experts estimating that the price of XRP could rise to $3.25 or more if buying momentum continues. Technical Analysis Changelly Projects XRP could trade between $2.87 and $3.25 this month, representing a possible 12-30% increase from current levels.

These objectives are raised by the expectation of greater entry of “easy money” into the markets after the Fed meeting.​

On-chain signals also support the bullish outlook for coin prices. Active wallet addresses and large transaction volumes are increasing. This indicates that a growing number of traders, investors and even institutions are turning to XRP ahead of the Fed’s decision.

Source of active XRP addresses: CryptoQuant

XRP Price Prediction: XRP Technical Analysis

XRP price action has attracted attention on the charts with strong support and resistance shown at key moving averages. The latest daily chart gives a clear technical view.

The price is now trading at $2.6524, just below the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at $2.7651 and above the 200-day SMA at $2.6116. This setup signals an improving trend, with the coin bouncing off major support.​

XRPUSDT analysis source: Tradingview

The nearest resistance lies at $2.77 (the 50-day SMA). If XRP manages to break above this level, the price could target the next resistance near $3.00. A key psychological and technical area where sellers have appeared before.​​

Support is strong at $2.61 (200-day SMA). A drop below this level could trigger further selling at $2.50 and $2.30, but buyers are strongly defending these levels.​​

Technical indicators also suggest more upside potential. The RSI stands at 53.10, showing solid momentum but not an overbought market. The MACD is slightly bullish, with a value of 0.0439 and a signal line at -0.0470, indicating that the buyers are gaining strength but have room to expand.

ADX is at 39.30, which means the trend is strengthening and high volatility could trigger breakout moves soon.​

If XRP price closes above $2.77 in the coming sessions, it could quickly advance to $3.00 and then $3.33, especially if the Fed rate cut triggers a new wave of buying.

A rejection of resistance could see XRP fall towards support, but as long as it remains above $2.61, the overall trend looks positive.​​

Big institutional funds could be coming, and any news on spot XRP ETFs or major partnerships could fuel the rally. For now, traders are watching the Fed’s decision, with most expecting the rate cut to lead to more gains in the price of XRP coin this week.​

If current momentum continues and the Fed makes the expected taper, XRP could break significant resistance and continue to rise until early November. But as always, it is crucial to closely monitor key support levels, especially near $2.61, to manage risk.

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