XRP price is trading just above $1.40, in a range of $1.30 to $1.45, with almost nothing happening – and that’s exactly what makes this setup worth watching.
The asset’s 30-day realized volatility index collapsed to around 0.42, its lowest value since 2024, a quantifiable compression that historically precedes sharp directional moves rather than continued silence.
The price seems stable until you compare it to the origin of XRP. After peaking above $3.00 in mid-2025, a sequence of lower highs and lower lows defined the following months, culminating with a capitulation event in early February 2026, a significant volume spike that eliminated weaker hands and reset positioning.
Since this color, the price has done almost nothing.
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Can XRP price surpass $1.50 or is $1.30 the next breakout point?
The price of XRP right now is not neutral, it is trending lower, and the chart shows this quite clearly, as the price is below the 50, 100, and 200 day averages, all pointing down, which is essentially the definition of a market that has not yet bottomed out.
The volume also confirms this. You had a spike during the sell-off and then participation declined, meaning it’s not a build-up, just a calmer downtrend. The fact that $1.30 remains stable only indicates that buyers are fighting back, not that they are strong enough to push the price higher.
The configuration is therefore simple.
If XRP can reclaim $1.50 and hold it, this is the first real sign of strength and a potential change in trend. In the meantime, each bounce is just a bounce within a downtrend.
If $1.30 breaks, the bottom disappears and there isn’t much support underneath, which is where things can accelerate quickly.
What makes it heavier is the chain side. Most holders are underwater, MVRV is at levels last seen during major market stresses, and profit supply is low, which generally means momentum is still bearish and not about to reverse.
Add to that the fact that XRP is already down around 30% over the past year, and this is not just a pullback, but a sustained downtrend that has yet to show any real reversal signal.
So the real takeaway is this: the market is compressing, but in a downtrend, and unless something changes that structure, the odds still lean toward a continuation, not a sudden recovery.
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The article XRP Price Volatility Falls to Multi-Year Low, Setting Up a Potential Major Move appeared first on Cryptonews.
