Ethereum signals the Q2 recovery potential while Bitcoin approaches Breakout territory, reports CMC.
Source: according to CMC Q1 2025
Bitcoin showed comparative stability, ending the first quarter of 10.52%, breaking his sequence of solid first quarters observed in 2023 and 2024.
“The first quarter of 2025 closed with Bitcoin and Ethereum in the red, but it is ETH who licks his injuries after a brutal drop of -43.85% – his worst quarter since 2018,” said Alice Liu, head of CMC research. “The hacking of Bybit, the postponed upgrade of Pectra and the weeks of ETF ETF outings broke the confidence of investors. But this is where the contrary is.”
The cryptography market experienced extreme volatility throughout the first quarter, the FEAR & GREED CMC index reaching an annual hollow of 15 on March 11, reflecting the persistent negative feeling despite Bitcoin prices exceeding $ 78,000 to $ 80,000.
Source: CMC Fear and Greed Index
Alice noted: “Historically, the ETH thrives in T2, offering a median return of + 15.29%. With a feeling always in the gutter and still high volatility, Ethereum enters the second trimester as a conventional medium reversion game.”
Two potential catalysts for Ethereum’s rebound have been identified: ETHEREUM SPOT ETF feeds and renewed interest in layer 2 scale solutions.
For Bitcoin, the maintenance of the support greater than $ 80,000 could open the way to a Q2 break, potentially triggered by improved macro-waves, continuous ETF inputs or compression of volatility.
“As for BTC, when he finished the first trimester with a rare negative imprint, his resilience in the panic of the market is revealing,” said Alice. “Despite the fear that dominates the feeling, Bitcoin has maintained structural support levels, suggesting consolidation, not capitulation.”
The total market capitalization of the crypto dropped by more than 17% in the first quarter to 2.67 billions of dollars.
Bitcoin domination has remained high at 61%, although the Altcoin season index has shown a slight increase compared to its walking hollow, which suggests that the rotation of capital at an early stage could begin if bitcoin stabilizes and regulatory catalysts are materialized.
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