Ethereum is showing warning signs as momentum begins to shift beneath the surface. The breakout of the RSI trendline on the USDT pair suggests weakening strength, while the ETH/BTC pair is now poised to follow suit. With a familiar breakout pattern emerging, the risk of a double confirmation increases, which could open the door for a sharper decline.
RSI Breakdown Signals Early Weakness on Ethereum/USDT
According to a recent Ethereum analysis from Umair Crypto, the USDT pair has already seen its RSI trendline broken, signaling an initial change in momentum. The ETH/BTC pair is expected to follow suit shortly, making a new low a matter of when, not if.
This pattern reflects a sequence recently observed with Solana. In this case, the RSI trendline of the USDT pair fractured first while the BTC pair initially appeared to maintain strength. Ethereum is now replicating this exact behavior, paving the way for a similar recursive breakdown.
Although the ETH/BTC pair is currently holding its levels, analysis suggests that this resilience is temporary. However, once the BTC pair loses its footing, the lack of support between the two denominations will likely trigger a strong downtrend. This alignment represents the most volatile and risky version of the market collapse for Ethereum.
Resilience under pressure, but at what cost?
The analyst then pointed out that Bitcoin and Ethereum have shown notable strength throughout the intensity of the broader macroeconomic battle. This resilience is undeniable, but it comes at a cost. Rather than building a solid base, the market has effectively been operating on borrowed time, and the fatigue now visible on the charts suggests that the cost of this strength is beginning to surface. From this point on, a move to a lower level should not be a surprise.
A major catalyst adds to the current tension. More than $2.1 billion worth of BTC and ETH options are set to expire today, alongside Wall Street’s massive $5.7 trillion Triple Witching event. Although such large expirations do not directly trigger market direction, they tend to amplify existing momentum. In this case, the underlying structure already hints at a bearish side, meaning any movement could be accelerated under these conditions.
The sequence of failures is also becoming clearer. The USDT pair was the first to show weakness, losing its key structure and signaling the initial change in momentum.
Attention now turns to the confirmation of the ETH/BTC pair. When this alignment occurs, it usually leads to a more decisive and aggressive decline as bearish pressure takes full control.
